Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts

June 26, 2026

Prof Keen Explains Inflation

This is a good explanation of what is coming, and how those in charge lack the intellect to deal with it.

This is my way of explaining what he's describing: I want to cut down a tree in my backyard, but my axe handle is broken. I can choose to use the axe with the broken handle, and take a long time, or I can buy a new handle. The new handle costs $20 now, when it used to cost $10. Adjusting interest rates won't make the handle cheaper as energy is used to make all axe handles, and so no matter what I do, I am faced with paying more or going without and taking a long time to cut down that tree. Because all economic output consumes energy, if you restrict the flow of energy, prices rise and consumer behaviour has nothing to do with it.

Some will point out that we have had no shortages of fuel, the stock has always been there when needed. That is correct, but why the price of energy rose is due to the reserves being depleted. When Trump surrendered he appears to have done so after being told that the world had about 90 days of oil reserves left. The world had been running by topping up using reserves. Thus, we saw no empty tanks at gas stations, but in the background the feedstock was running low. 

Now we are faced with trying to rebuild refining capacity in the Gulf, and trying to get shipping back to normal. This may take a year or two. In the wake of that, we may be about to experience a major collapse, along with the AI bubble and all the other bubbles.

May 26, 2026

Random Guy Explains The Problem

Listen to this guy carefully. Asmongold reacts to someone in Britain being interviewed while canvassing for Restore Britain.

April 22, 2026

Steve Keen Explains Just How Much of a Problem the World Has

This is a must watch. The world will experience a global famine if the Strait of Hormuz isn't opened up.

October 30, 2025

Start-Up Failure and Tax

I have drawn a logarithmic curve illustrating the link between the rate of income tax businesses may face and the rate at which start-ups fail within the first six years of existence.

At 0% tax, 10% of start-ups fail, while at 10% income tax, 40% of start-ups fail within six years. The argument here is that start-ups should not be subject to income tax within their first six years, the time when they are most vulnerable to failure.

Horlor Curve Logarithmic 


October 15, 2025

Manifesto for New Zealand

New Zealand is heading downhill fast. Its leaders are inept, dishonest, or worse. But I've written a useful book that lays out a plan for putting the country back on track. 

Manifesto for New Zealand can be bought from Amazon as a Kindle read. Check it out: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B0FVWF7352

Manifesto for New Zealand - Ken Horlor

August 16, 2025

Who's Buying Britain?

The argument used here also applies to New Zealand. In the not-too-distant future, we will own nothing, and be left renting all that we used to own.

May 31, 2025

Watch Out World: Philippines Booming

Yes, the Philippines with oil and gas, shipbuilding, high tech, and educated people. The Philippines appears to be the next country to take off:

March 12, 2025

Quick Economics Lesson

Brief and simple, Donald Trump cannot achieve what he's looking to do, in the way he's going about it:

Structure and Certainty Needed

Instability and uncertainty are recipes for disaster:

December 05, 2024

Lee Kuan Yew

The man who created modern Singapore, Lee Kuan Yew bemoaned the rise of weak men into high office. Singapore is the world's most successful modern state, making Lee the greatest man of the post war era.

One of Lee's solutions was to pay political leaders well, which acted as a disincentive to be corrupt. 

In the below video, Lee outlines the scale of the problem:


March 30, 2024

Global Population Decline

Park this one under; will someone tell the Green movement to 'shut the hell up'. If the worldwide population is set to decline, why are we chasing our tails with their Eco nonsense? Won't emissions reduce as the fewer consumers belch less emissions (heh...too many cows - get it)?

New Zealand is an interesting case. The replacement level of the population is 2.10 births per woman. The last time NZ was at that level was 2012. Yes, the rate of births has declined significantly over time, from 1960 when each woman had 4.10 children, on average, through to today where women have about 1.60 children. Within this long term trend, the birth rate has fluctuated; NZ dropped off in the 1990's, then built it back to 2012's level, and now things have dropped off again. 

Below I embed an Al Jazeera video looking at the topic, but I disagree with a lot of the rationale used. I think the cost of living is directly to blame. Where families are supported and where incomes are sufficient, people still have babies. 

Right now, we are faced with governments trying to kill us, destroy us, tax us into oblivion and offer no support whatsoever, so what do you think is not going to happen? That's right, they're not having kids is what is not going to happen.

What I am saying is that New Zealand's record proves that despite having a high standard of living and an educated workforce, that given the right conditions, the birth rate can be maintained at no less than replacement levels.

But, hang on, Africa has a fast growing population, the average age of sub-Saharan Africa is about 18. They're poor right? Right, but the cost of living is not so bad and they have resources coming on stream. Off the back of those resources and the related employment it creates, plus the lower cost of living, they can have large families. There is a strong incentive to get out there and earn, to make the family richer. 

People look at poorer countries and assume they'll have large families, but when you look closely, you'll find their pace of development is high. Their cost of living is low, and barriers to entry for business and professionals are not insurmountable. Larger families can grab a greater share of this wealth being created. Think of this as a fairer distribution of wealth.

Meanwhile, in the West there are many barriers to entry. It takes too long to become qualified when entering the workforce. By the time people are fully up to speed, they're in their thirties and for women, they have a far narrower window through which to make babies.

If you want to see birth rates rise; support families, remove barriers to entry, exploit resources and lower the cost of living.

July 16, 2022

How the West brought economic disaster on itself

Freddie Sayers breaks things down, how the West managed to destroy itself.