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April 25, 2021

Joe Biden: Simpleton

The Biden administration is out of its depth, they've released a statement on the Armenian genocide. You can read it here. 

Why is this a stupid thing to do? The Ottoman Empire was behind the atrocities. They have long since been discarded into the dustbin of history. The sick man of Europe lost the First World War and ceased to exist. 

What rose in its place were several states, amongst them modern day Turkey. Implicit in this Biden statement is an attack on Turkey which took no part in the events described. Took no part because they didn't even exist. 

Armenia may rejoice now, but they're jammed between Turkey, Azerbaijan and Georgia. They've just lost a war with Azerbaijan, and have tense relations with Turkey. This cannot end well for Armenia; Azerbaijan will likely intensify pressure to regain territory it lost at the end of the USSR, supported even more by Turkey. 

I wonder if Biden looks at the map. Turkey is a NATO member and effectively controls access to the Black Sea. It has its own tense relationship with Russia. Russia is clearly wanting to reclaim the Ukraine and to this end is amassing troops along its border and will close the Sea of Azov for naval vessels for the next six months. If things kick off, will Turkey care, or will they support Russia and close the Black Sea? Basically, if all that happens, the Ukraine is jiggered. 

When Biden was elected I warned he was a warmonger, and it turns out a very foolish one at that. I cannot see how the US can come out of this ahead. The Armenian community in California may be satisfied, but that's about it. Armenia itself could well be on its way to receiving a hiding and the Ukraine may well lose its fully independent status. All of these outcomes fuelled by such a stupid statement by Joe Biden.

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