April 29, 2016

Check This Out

Check out this portfolio (see new adjustments), it may just impress. Not even a year has past and this portfolio is up more than 50%. The trick is to think old fashioned. Do you jump on all the latest bandwagons? Well don't, they almost always lose money. Are you excited by dirty metal bashing industries? Great, think like that. 

Here it is...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/portfolio.aspx?fid=521

Look at Trinity Industries, up over 70%. Caterpillar up 55%. Oshkosh up over 100%. You never hear people banging on about how great these companies are do you. Think margin of safety, I believe Trinity offers margin of safety based on its relatively cheap price compared to its peers. 

Update (@27/06/2017): I have adjusted the portfolio and decided to take most of my Caterpillar gains and invest those in Paccar which appears cheap for such a great company right now. My thinking here is that Caterpillar's restructuring will take some time while Paccar represents quality truck brands, and Paccar is still making money. I'm selling half of my Caterpillar shares, those that remain represent the bulk of what the 1,000 original shares cost in the first place. Think about that for a minute.....18 months after purchase, they've just about paid themselves off and I can go after another great company. Note that the performance of the whole portfolio now drops after this new position is taken, but the whole has grown by the gain made on sale from the Caterpillar sale. And think, where I'm based this capital gain is tax free.

Update (@13/08/2018): Note this portfolio is doing very well. If you check in from time to time you will see that each stock fluctuates, but over time they all do well. That's because they're conservative picks, run cautiously and adroitly. They're not the next big thing, which usually crashes soon enough.

Update (@2/09/2019): I have one bad performer, FreightCar America Inc., but we don't go along with selling in a panic, we're sticking with it.

Update (@20/03/2020): The markets have been severely impacted by the COVID-19 crisis, but this portfolio is still ahead, up 12.7% since inception. The lesson; hold conservative value stock like these. Caterpillar is still up 59%, Federal Signal by 102%.

(Note: These opinions are information only and do not constitute investment advice. If you need investment advice on these stocks or anything else for that matter, talk to your recognised and professional investment adviser. Better still, do your own research and act on it confident in your own ability.)

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