June 26, 2023

The Prigozhin Mutiny

Two scenarios come to mind regarding what has been happening in Russia:

Scenario One:

Prigozhin wanted to retire, so he sold to the CIA, the idea of his force mutinying and removing Vladimir Putin from power. He kept Putin in the loop of course, and once the CIA had stumped up enough money to fund the adventure, he launched his 24 hour operation, and then buckled as arranged and split the proceeds with Putin and other allies. All of them then roll around on the floor laughing.

Scenario Two:

Russia wanted to move Prigozhin and his Wagner force to Belarus, just north of Kyiv. They did this to protect their nukes there, and to possibly mount another assault on the Ukraine capital if conditions allowed it. The whole exercise in faking a rebellion or mutiny, then having Prigozhin retire to Belarus has the look of providing a valid reason for him to be there. Nothing to see here.

What do you think?


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