Showing posts with label Debt. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Debt. Show all posts

August 27, 2025

Is Britain Going Bust?

The last time Britain was bailed out by the IMF was in 1976. Talk is now of another bailout looming as the net public debt to GDP measure is worse now than back in 1976.

To back this view up, have a look at the following graph forecasting the position vs Japan. The latter has by far the worse position at over 200% net public debt to GDP, but it still has large industries that can sustain that level of debt, while Britain only has a service sector, some manufacturing and finance. The latter is akin to moving the deck chairs around on the Titanic. And countries like Malaysia make as many cars as Britain does (not quite), while also producing more componentry. 

Gross Debt as % of GDP

However, these forecasts, measured on the above graph by a dotted line, have proven illusory. The position Britain finds itself in is as follows.

Public Sector Net Debt and Office for Budget Responsibility Forecast

If the IMF do provide a bailout, spending cuts will be mandated. These cuts in spending will be massive. 

Some are saying this is all planned. The collapse is to bring the post Brexit country down.

August 24, 2025

The Long Recession

The CPI is corrupted, and the developed world has been in decline for a long time. 

May 02, 2025

Do Trade Deficits Matter?

According to Victor Davis Hanson, trade deficits do matter if they're sustained while national debt to GDP is high, like that of the US debt to GDP ratio of 110%.