In the most recent poll, Reform UK now have a 16 point lead over Labour.
https://findoutnow.co.uk/blog/voting-intention-27th-august-2025
Anytime now and UK Prime Minister, Keir Starmer will declare war somewhere, in order to try and restore popularity. He could always stand down or call an election, of course, but either is unlikely to happen.
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| Source: Find Out Now |

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