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July 25, 2019

Boris Johnson Cleans House

Britain's new Prime Minister has sent a clear signal of how he intends to lead his country, bringing in hard line Brexit supporters and sacking those he doesn't trust. Finally, Brexit seems nearer.

Theresa May was always lukewarm on this whole Brexit thing. She wanted to keep everyone happy but only succeeded in making everyone depressed. She was too timid and at times indecisive. Sometimes just making any decision and sticking to it is better than no decision at all.

What can we expect from Johnson? It looks like a hard Brexit at this stage. But now they see which way things are headed, there remains the possibility the EU will buckle. Unlike many others, I think the EU stand to lose more if they oppose a more friendly divorce arrangement. That's because of the intangibles and things such as defence. If the EU are difficult, Britain may be less inclined to defend Western Europe. The cost of that task will be left to Germany who currently freeload off the UK and USA. Yes, NATO and all that, but the UK could easily sit on its hands.

This new Britain may pivot to the Pacific where they have considerable territory. That could involve joining the TPPA (or whatever they call it now). It may also engage more with Africa. Both regions offer more trade possibilities than the tired and indebted EU.

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